Bitcoin Lottery Miners
Every Bitcoin lottery miner in one place. Bitaxe, NerdMiner and LuckyMiner hardware built for Bitcoin solo mining: compare real hashrate, efficiency and running cost, and see your actual odds of solo mining a full Bitcoin block against the live network.
That last number is the whole point. A lottery miner earns nothing on an average day — but a single solved block pays the full reward, straight to your address, with no pool taking a cut.
Best Lottery Miners Right Now
Every Bitcoin Lottery Miner
Solo mining odds calculated against live network difficulty. Running cost at your electricity rate of $0.080/kWh.
| Miner | Hashrate | Power | Efficiency | Chance Per Year | Cost Per Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucky Miner LV07 1TH/s
|
1TH/s | 25W | 25.00 J/TH | 1 in 17,351 | $17.52 |
Canaan Avalon Nano 3 Lucky Solo Miner 4 TH/s
|
4TH/s | 140W | 35.00 J/TH | 1 in 4,338 | $98.11 |
Bitaxe Gamma 601 (1.2TH)
|
1.2TH/s | 17W | 14.17 J/TH | 1 in 14,459 | $11.91 |
NerdMiner NerdQaxe++ (4.8TH)
|
4.8TH/s | 72W | 15.00 J/TH | 1 in 3,615 | $50.46 |
NerdMiner NerdQaxe+ Hyd (2.5TH)
|
2.5TH/s | 60W | 24.00 J/TH | 1 in 6,941 | $42.05 |
Bitaxe Supra Hex 701 (4.2TH)
|
4.2TH/s | 90W | 21.43 J/TH | 1 in 4,132 | $63.07 |
Bitaxe Touch (1.6TH)
|
1.6TH/s | 22W | 13.75 J/TH | 1 in 10,844 | $15.42 |
Lucky Miner LV08 (4.5TH)
|
4.5TH/s | 120W | 26.67 J/TH | 1 in 3,856 | $84.10 |
Nerdminer V3
|
1MH/s | 1W | 1.00 J/MH | 1 in 17,350,265,063 | $0.70 |
Bitaxe Supra 401 (600GH)
|
600GH/s | 14W | 0.02 J/GH | 1 in 28,918 | $9.81 |
Bitaxe Ultra 1366 (425GH)
|
425GH/s | 11W | 0.03 J/GH | 1 in 40,825 | $7.71 |
Bitaxe Gamma Duo 650 (1.63TH)
|
1.63TH/s | 26W | 15.95 J/TH | 1 in 10,645 | $18.22 |
Bitaxe Gamma Turbo (2.4TH)
|
2.4TH/s | 35W | 14.58 J/TH | 1 in 7,230 | $24.53 |
Bitaxe Gamma 602 (1.3TH)
|
1.3TH/s | 15W | 11.54 J/TH | 1 in 13,347 | $10.51 |
NerdMiner NerdQaxe Plus Plus Hydro (4.8TH)
|
4.8TH/s | 76W | 15.83 J/TH | 1 in 3,615 | $53.26 |
NerdMiner NerdOCTAxe (9.6TH)
|
9.6TH/s | 160W | 16.67 J/TH | 1 in 1,808 | $112.13 |
NerdMiner NerdQaxe Plus Plus Rev 6.1 (6TH)
|
6TH/s | 103W | 17.17 J/TH | 1 in 2,892 | $72.18 |
NerdMiner NerdQaxe Plus Plus Hydro Rev 6.1 (6TH)
|
6TH/s | 103W | 17.17 J/TH | 1 in 2,892 | $72.18 |
NerdMiner NerdQaxe Plus (2.5TH)
|
2.5TH/s | 50W | 20.00 J/TH | 1 in 6,941 | $35.04 |
NerdMiner NerdOCTAxe Rev 3.1 (12TH)
|
12TH/s | 240W | 20.00 J/TH | 1 in 1,446 | $168.19 |
There is no daily profit column here on purpose. A lottery miner has an expected yield of effectively zero — the only honest numbers are what it costs you to run and what your odds are. If you want raw profitability maths for production hardware, use the ASIC miner profit calculator.
What Is Bitcoin Solo Mining?
No pool fee, no proportional split — and no guaranteed payout either.
Bitcoin solo mining means pointing your hardware at the network on your own account instead of joining a pool. You build your own block template, you hash it yourself, and if you solve it the entire block reward is yours. No pool fee, no proportional split, no minimum payout threshold.
The trade-off is brutal and simple. With a pool you earn a little every day. Solo, you earn nothing at all until the day you win everything. This is why the community calls it Bitcoin lottery mining or lucky mining: the machine is not an investment that pays back on a schedule, it is a ticket printer. Every hash it computes is one more entry in a draw that happens roughly every ten minutes, forever.
Pool mining
- Small payouts, almost every day
- Your reward is proportional to the hashrate you contributed
- The pool takes a fee and decides which transactions go in the block
- Predictable, low variance, effectively an income stream
Solo mining
- Nothing, then nothing, then possibly everything
- A win pays the entire block subsidy plus every fee in the block
- On your own node, you choose the transactions yourself
- Maximum variance, and the only way to win a whole block
How the Odds Actually Work
Your share of the network hashrate is your share of every block draw.
Bitcoin mining is a guessing game with a target. Every miner on earth is generating hashes and checking whether the result falls below a threshold set by the current network difficulty. There is no skill, no progress bar, and no partial credit. A hash either wins or it does not, and then you throw it away and try the next one.
This gives lottery mining a property that surprises most people: your chance of winning any given block is simply your hashrate divided by the total network hashrate. That is the whole formula. If the network runs at 900 EH/s and your machine produces 1 TH/s, you hold roughly one billionth of the tickets in every draw. Long odds — but real, calculable, and identical in kind to the odds an industrial farm holds.
Every hash is equal
The network cannot tell whether a winning hash came from a container farm or a board on your desk. There are no better tickets, only more of them.
Every attempt is independent
Bitcoin has no memory. Years of hashing do not make you due. The block could be solved on your first day, because the first day and the ten-thousandth are statistically identical.
Difficulty sets the bar, not your luck
Every fortnight the network retunes difficulty so blocks keep landing ten minutes apart. Your odds move with that number, which is why the chances in the table are recalculated against live data rather than published once and left to rot.
Why Lottery Mining Exploded
Home Bitcoin mining was dead for a decade. Open hardware brought it back.
For most of the last decade, home Bitcoin mining was dead. Industrial farms with megawatt substations and container-scale cooling made the economics impossible, and the hardware itself became hostile. A modern production ASIC is a three-kilowatt jet engine that nobody can live next to. Ordinary people were priced and noised out of the network they were supposedly part of.
Open-source lottery miners reversed that. A Bitaxe or NerdMiner costs less than a phone, draws a handful of watts, sits silently on a desk, and plugs into a normal socket. It will almost certainly never find a block. But it gives its owner something an exchange account never can: a real, non-custodial, statistically genuine shot at a full block reward, and one more independent hasher validating the network.
There is a cultural half to this too. These machines are open hardware — schematics, firmware and bill of materials in public, forked and improved by the people who mine on what they built. Owning one is closer to owning a ham radio than owning a share of a mining fund. That combination of low cost, zero noise, open design and lottery upside is exactly why the category went from curiosity to movement.
What You Need to Start Solo Mining
If you can set up a wireless printer, you can set up a lottery miner.
A lottery miner
Any of the machines listed above. Higher hashrate means more tickets per second, but every one of them is a valid entry into every draw. Buy on running cost and noise as much as on raw hashrate.
A Bitcoin address
The reward is paid directly to it. Use a wallet whose keys you control — the entire point of solo mining is that nobody stands between you and the coinbase output.
A solo mining endpoint
Either a public solo pool, which builds block templates for you and pays the finder in full, or your own Bitcoin full node running a solo stratum server. Both work. Only one of them is sovereign.
Power and patience
The cost per year in the table above is what you will actually spend. Treat it as the price of the ticket rather than as an operating loss, and the whole exercise stops looking irrational.
Solo Mining on Your Own Node
A pool-hosted ticket versus a genuine vote in Bitcoin consensus.
Most people start on a public solo pool, and that is a perfectly good place to start. The pool assembles the block template, your miner hashes it, and if you win, the pool pays you the full reward minus a small fee. Simple, and it works out of the box.
But running your own Bitcoin full node with a solo stratum server is the version that actually matters. A solo miner on its own templates decides which transactions go into the block it is trying to solve. That is not a rounding error in decentralisation terms — it is the difference between renting your hashpower to someone else and being a full participant in Bitcoin consensus.
The honest framing: a lottery miner on a public pool is a ticket. A lottery miner on your own node is a vote. The hardware cost is identical; only the setup effort differs, and that is why the node route is worth the weekend it takes.
How to Choose a Lottery Miner
You are not optimising payback here — you are optimising tickets per watt.
Hashrate is tickets
Doubling your hashrate exactly doubles your odds. Nothing else on the spec sheet moves the probability, which makes this the only number with a direct line to your chance of winning.
Efficiency is the ticket price
Efficiency decides how much electricity each ticket costs you. Two machines with the same hashrate and different efficiency give identical odds at different annual prices — and since the odds are the only upside, the cheaper one strictly wins.
Noise and heat decide whether it stays plugged in
A lottery miner only wins if it is running. The machine that lives quietly on a shelf for five years buys more tickets than the faster one you unplugged in week three because of the fan.
Open firmware is not a detail
Open hardware and firmware mean you can point the miner at your own node, tune it, repair it and audit exactly what it is hashing. On a machine whose entire purpose is self-custody of your own hashpower, a closed black box defeats the point.
Realistic Expectations
Judge a lottery miner the way you would judge a lottery ticket, not a business.
You will almost certainly not find a block. That sentence belongs on this page, because a site that hides it is selling something. The overwhelmingly likely outcome of buying a lottery miner is that you pay a small electricity bill for years and win nothing at all.
And yet solo blocks keep getting found by single low-power units. It happens because the maths permits it, not because those owners did anything clever. Each of them held the same long odds as everyone else and the draw went their way. That is the deal, stated plainly, and most owners find it a perfectly good deal once nobody is pretending otherwise.
So judge a lottery miner the way you would judge a lottery ticket, not a business. What does it cost to keep running, how many tickets per second does it buy, and what does a win pay? Those are the three numbers on this page — and unlike an actual lottery, the machine you bought is also quietly making Bitcoin harder to capture the entire time it runs.
Bitcoin Lottery Mining FAQ
Everything you need to know about solo Bitcoin mining odds
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